0.847
92
+15%
73
0.612
88
-8%
45
0.923
67
Analysing 8,700+ markets in real-time

Know the Risk
Before You Trade

30% of prediction markets have hidden resolution risks that lead to disputes, delays, or unexpected outcomes. Whether you're an individual trader sizing a position or an institution managing portfolio risk—you need to see what platforms hide.

8,700+
Markets Analysed
8
Scoring Factors
64+
Risk Signals Tracked
500+
News Sources

From Guesswork to Data

Platforms show price and volume. We analyse 8 independent factors across rules, liquidity, wallets, and evidence.

Individual Traders
Position Sizing Risk
Risk: You bet $5K on "Trump wins 2024" at 60¢. Market resolves "No Winner Declared" due to certification delays. You lose on a technicality.
Risk: "Fed cuts rates by July" resolves YES but your position was on a market with different threshold definition. Dispute takes 90 days.
With ClearResolve: See rule clarity score before sizing. Only take large positions on Grade A/B markets.
Institutional Desks
Portfolio & Compliance Risk
Risk: Your fund has $2M across 50 political markets. 12 have subjective resolution sources you weren't aware of. Audit finds undisclosed risk.
Risk: Market dispute locks $500K for 6 months during resolution appeal. Liquidity crisis during rebalancing window.
With ClearResolve: API integration flags resolution risk across portfolio. Risk report ready for compliance review.
Super Bowl LVIII Winner92TRUSTED
Bitcoin ETF Approval94TRUSTED
2024 Presidential Election88TRUSTED
Fed Rate Cut Timeline42RISK
World Cup 2026 Host Cities91TRUSTED
Government Shutdown58CAUTION
Super Bowl LVIII Winner92TRUSTED
Bitcoin ETF Approval94TRUSTED
2024 Presidential Election88TRUSTED
Fed Rate Cut Timeline42RISK
World Cup 2026 Host Cities91TRUSTED
Government Shutdown58CAUTION

8-Factor Trust Score

Every market is scored across 8 independent factors. Each factor is weighted and combined into a single Trust Score from 0-100.

Rule Clarity15%

How precisely are resolution conditions defined?

Source Reliability15%

Historical accuracy of designated resolution sources

Resolver Reputation15%

Track record of the designated resolver or oracle

Dispute Risk15%

Probability of resolution contestation

Resolution Speed10%

Expected time to resolution based on complexity

Wallet Behaviour10%

On-chain wallet intelligence & informed trader analysis

Evidence Integrity10%

Quality of supporting vs contradicting evidence

Liquidity Quality10%

Real-time orderbook health & price fragility

Primary Factors
60%
Secondary Factors
40%
Total Weight
100%

Wallet Intelligence

On-chain behaviour analysis

We track wallet positions across the full market lifecycle. Identify informed traders, market makers, and retail participants to understand who's betting and their historical accuracy.

Position sizing patterns from historically accurate wallets
Informed trader ratio (>60% win rate classification)
Unique wallet participation & portfolio concentration
Wallet classification: Informed / Market Maker / Retail / Bot

Liquidity Intelligence

Real-time orderbook analysis

Markets are tiered by volume and trade count. High-volume markets get snapshots every 5 minutes. We compute spread, depth, fragility, and stability metrics.

Bid-ask spread classification: Tight / Moderate / Wide
Depth quality within 1% of mid-price
Price fragility: impact of $1,000 market order
Liquidity volatility: stability between snapshots

Market Tier Classification

Tier24h VolumeTrade CountSnapshot IntervalAnalysis
TIER 1≥ $50,000≥ 1005 minFull Real-time
TIER 2≥ $5,000≥ 1030 minStandard
TIER 3< $5,000< 104 hoursReactive

We Verify Every Market

Our trust analysis has reviewed 8,700+ markets. Here's what we found.

6,090
Markets Verified Safe
Clear resolution rules
Reliable data sources
Healthy liquidity profile
These markets have Trust Scores of 70+
2,610
Markets with Hidden Risk
Subjective resolution sources924
Ambiguous rule wording687
Shallow liquidity / wide spreads999
30% of all markets—often with high volume

Don't bet blind. See which markets are verified safe before you trade.

Try Free Demo

Quantified Risk Analysis

Our multi-stage pipeline transforms raw market data into actionable intelligence.

1

Data Ingestion

Real-time feeds from Polymarket. Markets, trades, and orderbooks captured continuously.

2

NLP Analysis

AI parses resolution rules into structured logic: actors, conditions, sources, exclusions.

3

8-Factor Scoring

Weighted algorithms compute Trust Scores from rules, wallets, liquidity, and evidence.

4

Evidence Matching

500+ news sources monitored. Incidents attributed to market conditions in real-time.

Trade with Data, Not Hope

Join traders who verify resolution risk with quantified analysis before placing bets.

No credit card required. Analyse any Polymarket URL instantly.

Unlock the Full Dataset

From basic scores to raw API access. Choose your level of data depth.

Free
$0
per month
  • 50 market views/month
  • Basic Trust Scores
  • No 8-factor breakdown
  • No liquidity data
  • No alerts
Get Started
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Pro
$99
per month
  • Unlimited markets
  • Full 8-factor breakdown
  • Wallet intelligence
  • Liquidity insights
  • Email alerts
  • Watchlist & portfolio
Start 14-Day Trial
API
$299
per month
  • Everything in Pro
  • REST API access
  • Webhooks
  • Bulk data export
  • Liquidity endpoints
  • Priority support
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